文章摘要
基于机器学习的充电场站运营影响因子识别与分析
Identification and analysis of operational influencing factors for charging stations based on machine learning
投稿时间:2025-10-29  修订日期:2026-01-21
DOI:
中文关键词: 新能源充电场站  多源数据融合  机器学习  LightGBM  运营因子识别  电力供需优化
英文关键词: new energy charging station  multi-source data fu-sion  machine learning  LightGBM  identification of operational factors  optimization of power supply and demand
基金项目:国网智慧车联网技术有限公司2025年基于大数据的充电场站核心影响因子体系研究项目
作者单位邮编
李厚志 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司 
王金宇 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司 
李乐欣 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司 
胡洋 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司 
王宁 国网智慧车联网技术有限公司 
马紫帅* 北京师范大学 100031
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中文摘要:
      随着新能源汽车产业的高速发展,充电基础设施的智能化运营成为实现电力供需平衡与能源高效利用的关键环节。针对当前新能源场站运营中存在的多源数据异构、影响因素识别不充分等问题,提出一种基于数据融合与机器学习的场站运营关键因子识别方法。首先,整合充电订单、场站属性、用户行为、兴趣点(POI)、天气及节假日等多源数据,通过属性对齐与记录匹配实现数据融合,并构建反映场站运营绩效的综合指标体系;其次,利用皮尔森相关系数与互信息法量化不同类型因子与运营指标之间的相关性,筛选潜在关键因子;最后,基于直方图决策树模型(LightGBM)评估因子重要性,识别对订单量、利润与电量等指标影响显著的核心驱动因素。研究结果表明,优惠策略、设备利用率及用户参与度是影响场站运营成效的主要因素,这为新能源充电场站的精细化运营与电力供需调控提供了数据支撑与决策依据。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: With the rapid development of the new energy vehicle industry, the intelligent operation of charging infrastructure has become a key link in achieving the balance between power supply and demand and the efficient utilization of energy. To address the problems existing in the current operation of new energy stations, such as multi-source data heterogeneity and insufficient identification of influencing factors, this study proposes a method for identifying key factors in station operation based on data fusion and machine learning. Firstly, the research integrates multi-source data including charging orders, station attributes, user behavior, POI, weather, and holidays, achieves data fusion through attribute alignment and record matching, and constructs a comprehensive indicator system reflecting the operational performance of stations. Secondly, Pearson correlation coefficient and mutual information method are used to quantify the correlation between different types of factors and operational indicators, so as to screen potential key factors. Finally, the LightGBM is employed to evaluate the importance of factors and identify the core driving factors that significantly affect indicators such as order volume, profit, and power consumption. The results show that preferential strategies, equipment utilization rate, and user participation are the main factors influencing the operational effectiveness of stations. This study provides data support and decision-making basis for the refined operation of new energy charging stations and the regulation of power supply and demand.
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