| 高政南,周飞航,葛根塔娜,金耀杰,王海利.多维电力市场风险综合评价研究[J].电力需求侧管理,2021,23(6):26-30 |
| 多维电力市场风险综合评价研究 |
| Research on comprehensive evaluation of multi dimensional power market’s risks |
| 投稿时间：2021-07-08 修订日期：2021-09-07 |
| DOI：10. 3969 / j. issn. 1009-1831. 2021. 06 . 006 |
| 中文关键词: 多维电力市场风险综合评价研究 |
| 英文关键词: power market risk evaluation improved analytic hierarchy process entropy weight method |
| 基金项目:2018 年教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关基金资助项目（18JZD032） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 随着我国电力市场化改革的不断深入，市场交易类别与主体行为的不断丰富在完善市场体制建设的同时也为市场运行带来了一定风险，需要一套全面、客观的电力市场风险评估体系对现阶段电力市场存在或潜在的风险隐患进行量化体现。通过对市场结构、市场主体、市场效率及市场运行机制等4个方面进行风险因素的挖掘分析，提炼出相应指标，采用结合改进的层次分析法与熵权法的组合赋权方法，对所提的各项指标进行权重计算，并结合实例对电力市场风险进行了多维评价，验证了所提指标体系的适用性和有效性。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| China’s power market reform has brought certain risks to the market operation. A comprehensive and objective risk assessment system is needed to quantify the existing risks and potential risks of the current power market operation. By mining and analyzing the risk factors from four aspects, such as market structure, market subject, market efficiency and market operntion mechanism, the corresponding indicators are extracted. The weighting of each index is calculated by combining the improved analytic hierarchy process and the entropy weight method. The multi - dimensional evaluation of power market risk is carried out with an example to verify the proposed the applicability and validity of the evaluation model. |
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