文章摘要
杨 纲,寇 健,严思唯,芦金雨.基于改进kmeans++算法的用户分类与电价政策影响分析[J].电力需求侧管理,2020,22(3):57-62
基于改进kmeans++算法的用户分类与电价政策影响分析
Classification of users and analysis of influence of electricity price policy based on improved kmeans++ algorithm
投稿时间:2019-01-22  修订日期:2019-11-12
DOI:DOI:10.3969 / j. issn. 1009-1831. 2020. 03. 012
中文关键词: 复合距离  kmeans++  典型行业用户  用电量标杆值  电价政策相关性
英文关键词: compound distance  kmeans++  typical industry users  power consumption benchmark value  power price policy relevance
基金项目:国家电网公司科技项目资助(52090016002M)
作者单位
杨 纲 上海市电力公司 奉贤供电公司,上海 201400 
寇 健 上海市电力公司 奉贤供电公司,上海 201400 
严思唯 上海市电力公司 奉贤供电公司,上海 201400 
芦金雨 上海市电力公司 奉贤供电公司,上海 201400 
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中文摘要:
      以上海市张江某工业园大工业用户为研究对象,采用大数据方法分析典型用户用电与电价政策的相关性。针对传统 kmeans 聚类算法的缺点,提出基于复合距离的kmeans++算法,考虑用电曲线的空间相近性与形态相似性,并优化初值选择,具有更好的聚类效果。采用该算法对大工业用户进行聚类,得到大工业具有5种典型行业用户并分析其原因。基于典型行业用户变压器容量和用电量数据,计算各典型行业用电量标杆值并分析其在新电价政策实施前后的波动情况,明确电力公司后续提升工作的重点方向并对不同用户的用电提出合理意见。
英文摘要:
      The large industrial users of an industrial park in Zhangjiang, Shanghai are studied to analyze the relevance between power consumption benchmark value of typical industry users and power price policy using big data technology. To solve problems of traditional kmeans clustering algorithm, a kmeans ++ algorithm based on composite distance is proposed, which takes into account the spatial and morphological similarities of electricity curves, and optimizes the selection of initial values, so clustering effect is better. This algorithm is used to cluster large industrial users. Finally,five typical industrial users are found in large industry and their reasons are analyzed. Based on the transformer capacity and power consumption data of typical industries, the power consumption benchmark values of each typical industry are calculated and their fluctuations before and after the implementation of the new tariff policy are analyzed. These help electricity companies to identify the key direction of follow up work and put forward reasonable opinions to different users.
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