Short-term power load forecasting based on BWO optimization of LSTM parameters and hyperparameters
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1. Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Hebei Electric Power Co., Ltd., Shijiazhuang 050000 , China ;2. Department of Economic Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071000 , China ;3. Hebei Huizhi Power Engineering Design Co., Ltd., Shijiazhuang 050000 , China

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TM714

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    Abstract:

    A short-term power load forecasting model based on the beluga whale optimization (BWO) algorithm and long short-term memory network (LSTM) is proposed to address the high demand for accuracy in power load forecasting in smart grids, while also considering the instability of traditional optimized LSTM models in short-term power load forecasting. The model first uses the hyperparameters of LSTM as the location of the beluga whale, historical load, day type, and weather factors as the dataset, and the prediction error of LSTM on the training set as the fitness of BWO. Then, BWO is used to optimize the parameters and hyperparameters of the LSTM model that is most suitable for the training set, and predict and analyze the power load data of a certain region based on the optimal LSTM model. The research results indicate that the average absolute error percentage and root mean square error of BWO-LSTM prediction results are smaller, the prediction accuracy is higher, and the prediction results are more stable. It can be used as a reliable tool for short-term power load forecasting and provide strong support for the safe and stable operation of the power system.

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王云佳,马国真,夏静,等. 基于BWO优化LSTM参数和超参数的短期电力负荷预测[J]. 电力需求侧管理, 2026, 28(1): 93-99.

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History
  • Received:August 29,2025
  • Revised:October 28,2025
  • Adopted:
  • Online: July 20,2026
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