Feasibility evaluation model of zero carbon transformation in industrial parks based on system dynamics
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(Econorric and Technical Research Institute, State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210000, China)

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TM74

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    Abstract:

    Feasibility assessment of zero carbon transformation in parks is an important basis for promoting the development of zero carbon parks. Considering that whether the park can achieve zero carbon transformation depends on the comprehensive effects of factors such as the park’s GDP, fossil energy consumption intensity, new energy power generation, and carbon reduction technology investment, a feasibility assessment model for zero-carbon transformation of industrial parks based on system dynamics is proposed. The model consists of four modules:fuel combustion and production process carbon emissions, sewage treatment carbon emissions, purchased power carbon emissions, and carbon sinks and CCUS technology carbon reduction. The simulation results show that the model can predict the specific time for the park to achieve zero carbon transformation under the influence of multiple factors, and provide guidance for the configuration of emission reduction strategies.

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牛文娟,徐 筝,薛贵元,陈 琛,诸晓骏,吴 垠,王 鑫,肖人杰.基于系统动力学的工业园区零碳转型可行性评估模型[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2025,27(6):17-22.

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History
  • Received:July 12,2025
  • Revised:September 17,2025
  • Adopted:
  • Online: December 08,2025
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