Research on multi-level load forecasting method for power system based on improved LSTM
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(Economic Research Institute, State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210008, China)

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TM714;TK018

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    Abstract:

    Power load forecasting is the basis of power system development planning and power generation plan. The load data of power grid is huge, complicated in structure and diverse in statistical scope, and the factors affecting load change are changeable. The large-scale access of new energy further increases the difficulty of power load forecasting. A multi-level load forecasting method of power system based on improved long short term memory(LSTM)is proposed, which establishes the time series relationship of multi-level load at the provincial,municipal and substation levels, takes historical load data, meteorological data and regional economic data of different load levels as input of the forecasting algorithm, and classifies the load factors at each level. Constraints are added from the perspective of planning development, and the three-layer stacked neural networks prediction model based on improved LSTM is used to complete the overall prediction of each level of load. The simulation example is based on the actual power load data and PV output data of S province and Y city in East China. The results show that the proposed method has a good effect on improving the prediction accuracy of multi-level power load.

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史 静,李冰洁,李泽森,胡晓燕,李 琥.基于改进LSTM的电力系统多层级负荷预测方法研究[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2025,27(2):62-67.

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History
  • Received:November 26,2024
  • Revised:January 02,2025
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 30,2025
  • Published:
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