Comparison and impact analysis of risk dispatch strategies of new power system
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(1. Power Dispatch Control Center , State Grid Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd., Changchun 1300212, China;2. Beijing TsIntergy Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100080, China;3. School of Electrical Engineering &Automation, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China;4. Tsinghua Sichuan Energy Internet Research Institute, Institute of Energy Transaction and Operations Research, Chengdu 610299, China)

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TK01;TM73

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    Abstract:

    Comparison and impact analysis of different risk dispatch strategies of new power system can help dispatchers get more detailed operation information, so as to promote their practical skills when making decisions about risk dispatch strategies. First, Copula theory is used to build the probabilistic distribution of forecast error given a specified forecast value, and multiple scenarios can be obtained by Monte-Carlo sampling. Second, three different risk dispatch strategies are built and compared, which are two-stage stochastic optimization modelling, chance-constrained approach and deterministic models, and then derives and analyses day-ahead electricity prices based on Lagrange multiplier method. Last, the example analysis shows that the results of other two models can be covered by setting different confidence levels in chance-constrained approach. The two-stage stochastic optimization model is rather conservative, while the deterministic model is rather aggressive. It also shows that it is prone to curtail new energy power during low-load periods in a high proportion new energy power system.

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李宝聚,辛 茹,付小标,侯嘉琪,赖晓文,孙 勇,王志伟,王 尧.含新能源电力系统的风险调度策略比对与影响分析[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2025,27(1):59-66.

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History
  • Received:November 03,2024
  • Revised:December 28,2024
  • Adopted:
  • Online: February 05,2025
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