Adaptive sliding window LSTM approach of air conditioning load in public buildings
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(1. State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing 21000, China;2. School of Electric Engineering,Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China;3. Taizhou Power Supply Company, State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Taizhou 225300, China;4. School of Software, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China)

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TM714;TK018

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    Abstract:

    To address the problem of low prediction accuracy due to the influence of multidimensional factors such as weather factors and calendar information on air conditioning load and the difficulty in sufficiently extracting the time series characteristics of load data, an air conditioning load prediction model for public buildings using long short-term memory(LSTM)recurrent neural networks based on an adaptive sliding window is proposed. The model first analyzes the influencing factors of air conditioning load in public buildings. Considering that traditional time series prediction models often perform poorly when dealing with non-stationary data, an adaptive sliding window mechanism is innovatively introduced. This mechanism can dynamically adjust the window size to better capture the variations in temperature and historical air conditioning load data, thereby improving the effectiveness of data preprocessing. Furthermore, given the complexity and long-term and short-term dependencies of air conditioning load variations, a multi-layer LSTM network architecture is designed to achieve accurate prediction of air conditioning load in public buildings. Taking the load data of a specific region as an example, proposed model achieves higher fitting ability and better prediction results when an appropriate sliding window size is selected.

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任禹丞,王玉珏,贾丰全,胡涵天.公共建筑空调负荷的自适应滑窗LSTM预测方法[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2024,26(5):43-48.

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History
  • Received:March 09,2024
  • Revised:April 11,2024
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 25,2024
  • Published:
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