Ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction for random forests based on multiple feature analysis and extraction
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

(1. State Grid Chongqing Power Supply Company, Chongqing 400014, China;2. State Grid Chongqing Urban Power Supply Company, Chongqing 400015, China;3 North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

Clc Number:

TM714;TK018

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    PV penetration is steadily increasing with the large-scale utilization of new energy sources. Accurate PV power prediction can bring more benefits to grid enterprises. Based on this, a random forest prediction model with multi-feature analysis extraction is proposed for ultra-short- term PV power prediction.Firstly, the collected PV data is pre-processed to clean up the missing and duplicate values. Then, correlation analysis is performed on the influencing factors and factors with strong correlation are selected. Next, feature engineering is performed on the screened factors and the processed feature vector is used as input of the prediction model. Finally, the random forest prediction model is built and compared with BP, RBF and MLP models. Empirical results show that the model proposed has better fit and higher prediction accuracy, which is of certain guidance for PV prediction work.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

ZHANG Chengke, LIU Huideng, ZHU Yuning, JIA Fan, GUO Hengqing, ZHANG Jinliang. Ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction for random forests based on multiple feature analysis and extraction[J].,2023,25(6):50-56.

Copy
Related Videos

Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:May 05,2023
  • Revised:July 23,2023
  • Adopted:
  • Online: December 18,2023
  • Published:
Article QR Code