Short-term load forecasting method based on weather classification and convolutional neural network
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(1. Bozhou Electric Power Supply Company, State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Bozhou 236800,China;2. School of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200082, China)

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TM714;TK018

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    Abstract:

    In order to reduce the impact of weather factors on short-term power load forecasting and improve the forecasting accuracy of the model, a short-term load forecasting model based on weather classification and convolutional neural networks is proposed. Firstly,through the preliminary classification of weather types, the model divides the original data sample set into four types such as sunny,cloudy, cloudy and rainy days. Secondly, in order to identify similar meteorological conditions, the correlation coefficient and k- means clustering method are used to find the meteorological factors that have the greatest impact on the new load output, cluster them, and select high similarity data samples. Then, according to the result of feature selection, the neural network input data set is constructed. Finally, the data set is input to the convolutional neural network for training and prediction. The proposed model has higher prediction accuracy through verification and analysis of numerical examples.

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戴明明,王 康,李 强,石炬烽,邓亚伟,张荣荣,刘蓉晖,孙改平.基于天气分类和卷积神经网络的短期负荷预测方法[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2023,25(3):93-98.

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History
  • Received:January 06,2023
  • Revised:March 02,2023
  • Adopted:
  • Online: May 31,2023
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