Short-term load forecasting based on hierarchical clustering algorithm and ISA-LSSVM
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(1. College of Cyberspace Security, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China;2. College of Electricalengineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China;3. Measurement Center, Guangdong Power Grid Co.,Ltd., Guangzhou 518049, China)

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TM714;TK018

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    Abstract:

    For short-term load forecasting of different types of users, support vector machine and deep learning model are widely used at present. A hybrid model is proposed to solve the problems of the least squares support vector machine model, such as the difficulty in determining the super parameters, the high data quality requirements of the model, and the slow optimization speed and easy to fall into the local optimization of the integrated conventional optimization algorithm. Firstly, the original feature data is clustered by hierarchical clustering and then the corresponding least squares support vector machine model is established for the same prediction day. Then, the super parameters in least squares support vector machine are heuristic searched by the improved simulated annealing algorithm. Finally, by comparing the performance of the load forecasting model with that of various load forecasting models, the results show that the proposed model can effectively improve the ac?curacy of load forecasting and shorten the forecasting time.

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郑 乐,徐青山,冯小峰.基于层次聚类算法与ISA-LSSVM的短期负荷预测研究[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2022,24(5):51-57.

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History
  • Received:June 28,2022
  • Revised:July 26,2022
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 27,2022
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