Prediction of day-ahead electricity price based on deep belief network
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(College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China)

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TM73;F426.61

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    Abstract:

    With the continuous deepening of China’s power system reform, significant progress has been made in the construction of the power market. Electricity price is a key influencing factor in the electricity market and each participant conducts electricity transactions based on electricity prices. Therefore, improving the accuracy of electricity price forecasts is very important for every participant in the electricity market. Most of the previous electricity price forecasts used single - layer neural network forecasts,and the accuracy of the forecasts was limited. To this end, according to the accuracy of machine learning in forecasting, the deep be-lief network method is used to predict the day - a - day electricity price. In the calculation example, the real data of the US PJM pow-er market is used for simulation prediction and compared with other neural network prediction models. The results of calculation examples show that the prediction accuracy of the deep belief net-work model is higher. The use of deep belief networks can providean effective method for electricity price forecasting for China’s electricity sales companies.

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郭 晨,李雪瑞,韩照洋,付学谦.基于深度信念网络的日前电价预测[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2022,24(2):86-91.

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History
  • Received:November 10,2021
  • Revised:January 08,2022
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 24,2022
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