Monthly electricity forecasting based on K⁃L information and ARIMA error correction
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

(1. Hainan Power Grid Co., Ltd., Haikou 570204, China; 2. Beijing Tsingsoft Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100085, China)

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    In order to consider the influence of multiple factors on electricity and improve the accuracy of monthly electricity forecasting. A monthly electricity forecasting method is proposed based on the K-L information method and ARIMA error correction. Based on screening relevant indicators, the correlation analysis method is used to make regression modeling on the influence indicators and electricity, calculate of fitting errors, and construct a new non - stationary time series, combined with the ARIMA model to modify this series. Monthly electricity predictions obtained with better accuracy, have higher application value.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

陈明帆,宁光涛,李琳玮,何礼鹏,刘丽新.基于K⁃L信息量和ARIMA误差修正的月度电量预测[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2021,23(2):43-46.

Copy
Related Videos

Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:September 03,2020
  • Revised:December 15,2020
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 19,2021
  • Published:
Article QR Code