Short?term load forecasting method considering load behavior in different periods
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(1. Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510000, China;2. Beijing SGITG?Accenture Information Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100032, China)

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    Abstract:

    With the advent of the era of big data in power,higher requirements have been placed on the accuracy of power load forecasting. Accurate power load forecasting is of great significance for the safe and stable operation of power systems and reducing costs. Aiming at the characteristics of short term power load showing different load operation rules in different time periods, the similarity of load behavior in different time periods is calculated in the daily range. Based on the consideration of the weather dimension and the time dimension, the behavior dimension is added. The behavior similarity factors of different time periods are introduced into the long short term memory network model, and the future load data is predicted based on the historical load data. Experimental simulation proves that considering the characteristics of load behavior in different time periods can effectively improve the accuracy of load prediction.

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段 炼,洪海生,乡 立,林 海,许中平,岳首志.考虑分时段负荷行为的短期负荷预测方法[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2021,23(1):77-83.

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History
  • Received:September 10,2020
  • Revised:November 25,2020
  • Adopted:
  • Online: February 01,2021
  • Published:
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