Day⁃ahead prediction of V2G power capacity based on distribution Internet of Things technology and parallel random forest algorithm
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(1. NARI Group Corporation/State Grid Electric Power Research Institute, Nanjing, 211100, China; 2. State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou Electric Power Supply Company, Fuzhou, 350000, China)

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This work is supported by the Science and Technology Project of NARI Group Corporation(No.524609190013)

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    Abstract:

    Accurate and fast prediction of V2G power capacity is the key to realize the energy storage of aggregated batteries of electric vehicles(EVs)as a buffer for power grid and renewable energy. However, the randomness and uncertainty of charging and discharging behavior of electric vehicles make it difficult to predict V2G power accurately. With the development of the Internet of Things(IOT)and the large-scale access of electric vehicles, the charging and discharging data of electric vehicles have increased explosively, which provides a large amount of data support for the accurate V2G power capacity, but also brings large data processing problems. A parallel prediction model of V2G power capacity is established based on the parallel random forest algorithm by using a large amount of historical and meteorological data to construct the prediction feature vector. Thus, the influence of user behavior on prediction results is avoided. In addition, a distributed big data platform based on Spark is built to realize rapid prediction of V2G power capacity. Finally, the proposed method is compared with SVM algorithm which is used in predicting V2G power capacity on traditional stand-alone platform. The experimental results show that using the parallel random forest algorithm is not only 1.75% more accurate than using the traditional SVM, but also more than 6 times faster.

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岳 友,李宽宏.基于配电物联网技术和并行随机森林算法的日前V2G功率容量预测[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2020,22(4):31-34.

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History
  • Received:December 24,2019
  • Revised:March 26,2020
  • Adopted:
  • Online: July 28,2020
  • Published:
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