Short⁃term electric power load forecasting based on accumulated temperature effect and optimized support vector machine
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(State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company Maintenance Branch, Nanjing 211102, China)

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F407.61;TK018;TM714

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    Abstract:

    The load forecast using optimized support vector machine was proposed based on accumulated temperature effect.The correction model of temperature was established based on study of two forms of accumulated temperature effects. In order to improve prediction accuracy, optimized support vector machine was adopted to forecast load. Finally, with the data of a region in Jiangsu as history data, least squares was adopted to obtain optimal parameters, and then the correction of temperature was used into the above method to forecast load. The results show high prediction accuracy and have good prospect.

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谭风雷,陈梦涛,汪龙龙.基于积温效应和优化支持向量机的短期电力负荷预测[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2018,20(5):33-36.

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History
  • Received:April 13,2018
  • Revised:June 19,2018
  • Adopted:
  • Online: December 04,2018
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