Research on electricity demand in Anhui Province based on social andeconomic saturated development characteristics
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(1.State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hefei 230061, China; 2.Economic Technology Research Institute, State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hefei 230022, China)

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F426.61

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    Abstract:

    Saturated electricity demand study contributes tograsp the characteristics of electricity development and guides thenear and medium.term forecasts.The saturation development stageof economic, society and the electricity consumption in differentcountries was analyzed.An index system including endogenous andexternal characteristics for evaluating the regional saturated electrici.ty demand was then established.Based on the research of endoge.nous variables in industrialization process, such as economy, indus.trial structure, population, GDP per capita and electricity consump.tion per unit output value, external characteristics of electricity de.mand was modeled with co.integration and forecasted for saturation.Also, the validity of saturated demand forecast was proved throughcontrast with development process of other advanced province.

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金炜,陈煜,葛斐,杨娜,马静,王宝.基于社会经济饱和发展特征的安徽省电力需求研究[J].电力需求侧管理英文版,2018,20(2):16-19.

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History
  • Received:July 03,2017
  • Revised:November 01,2017
  • Adopted:
  • Online: April 04,2018
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