基于信息间隙决策理论的虚拟电厂经济调度
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(国网江苏省电力有限公司 电力科学研究院,南京 211103)

作者简介:

高磊(1982),男,江苏南京人,博士,高级工程师,主要从事电网继电保护、运行控制等方面工作;郑明忠(1989),男,江苏南京人,博士,高级工程师,主要从事厂站自动化等方面工作。

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TM734

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国网江苏省电力有限公司科技项目(J2023125)


Economic dispatch of virtual power plants based on information gap decision theory
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(Electric Power Science Research Institute, State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing 211103, China)

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    摘要:

    为降低可再生能源输出和电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)出行的不确定性给虚拟电厂(virtual power plant,VPP)调度带来的风险,提出了一种基于信息间隙决策理论(information gap decision theory,IGDT)的含电动汽车虚拟电厂优化调度模型。首先,基于私家电动汽车用户行为特征建立蒙特卡洛负荷预测模型,并引入Sigmoid函数量化用户响应意愿度与VPP激励价格的动态关系;其次,基于VPP框架,融合风电、光伏、燃气轮机、储能系统、具备与电网互动(vehicle to grid,V2G)能力的EV集群,建立考虑多源协同的经济优化调度模型;接着,针对该模型中的不确定参数,引入信息间隙决策理论,构建了兼具风险规避与机会寻求的双层决策机制;最后,对某虚拟电厂进行算例测试,验证所提模型和算法的正确性和有效性。算例结果表明,该方法能有效地实现负荷侧调峰和填谷,在经济性和稳定性方面具有优越性。

    Abstract:

    In order to reduce the risk brought by the uncertainty of renewable energy output and electric vehicle(EV)travel to virtual power plant(VPP)scheduling, an optimal scheduling model of virtual power plant incorporating electric vehicles based on information gap decision theory(IGDT)is proposed. Firstly, a Monte Carlo load prediction model is established based on the behavior characteristics of private EV users, and the Sigmoid function is introduced to quantify the dynamic relationship between user response willingness and VPP incentive price.Secondly, based on the VPP framework, wind power, photovoltaic power, gas turbines, energy storage systems and EV clusters with vehicle to grid(V2G)capabilities are integrated to establish an economic optimization scheduling model considering multisource collaboration. Then, aiming at the uncertain parameters in the model, the information gap decision theory is introduced, and a twolevel decision-making mechanism with both risk aversion and opportunity seeking is constructed. Finally, a virtual power plant is tested with an example to verify the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm. The results show that the method can realize the load side peak balancing and valley filling effectively, and has advantages in economy and stability.

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高 磊,郑明忠.基于信息间隙决策理论的虚拟电厂经济调度[J].电力需求侧管理,2025,27(5):01-08

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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-30
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-03
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