基于“情景-应对”的城市大面积停电应急联动机制与策略
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作者单位:

(1. 深圳供电局有限公司,广东 深圳 518001;2. 深圳市城市公共安全技术研究院有限公司,广东 深圳 518046)

作者简介:

陈星霖(1991),男,广东罗定人,学士,工程师,主要从事电网应急管理能力建设研究工作;邵光正(1990),男,通信作者,山东临沂人,硕士,工程师,主要从事公共安全、应急管理研究工作。

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中图分类号:

TM73;TK018

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2019YFC0810703);中国南方电网有限责任公司科技项目(090000KK52200127)


Scenario-response-based emergency linkage mechanism and strategy for large-scale blackouts in cities
Author:
Affiliation:

(1. Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518001, China;2. Shenzhen Urban Public Safety and Technology Institute Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518046, China)

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    摘要:

    城市大面积停电影响领域广泛,单一行业或部门难以应对,通过科学方法分析停电情景并构建涵盖多主体的应急联动机制十分必要。构建了情景分析模型,从风险演化、事件分类和逻辑层次3个维度对停电事件进行全方位、多层次的科学描述;基于城市系统理论和情景构建原则,通过实证分析和逻辑推演,构建停电及通信中断、供油中断、供水中断、交通瘫痪等关键情景链,结合案例分析应急联动的需求和不足。基于“情景-应对”视角,以电力抢修恢复为主体,构建涵盖电网企业内部、电厂与电网之间、政府与企业之间和民生行业之间的应急联动机制,提出更高效应对大面积停电事件的具体、可行的综合联动机制和策略。

    Abstract:

    Large- scale blackouts in cities affects a wide range of areas, and it is difficult for a single industry or department to deal with it. It is necessary to analyze the power failure scenario through scientific methods and build an emergency linkage mechanism covering multiple subjects. A scenario analysis model is constructed to describe power outage events from three dimensions:risk evolution, event classification and logical level. Based on the theory of urban system and the principle of scenario construction,through empirical analysis and logical deduction, key scenario chains such as power failure, communication interruption, oil supply interruption, water supply interruption and traffic paralysis are constructed, and the needs and deficiencies of emergency linkage are analyzed combined with cases. Based on the perspective of “scenario-response”, and taking electric power emergency repair and restoration as the main body, the emergency linkage mechanism covering the power grid enterprises, between the power plant and the grid, between the government and enterprises and between people’s livelihood industries is constructed, and the specific and feasible comprehensive linkage mechanism and strategy for higher effects on large-scale power outage events is proposed.

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引用本文

陈星霖,邵光正,童凡杰,罗 晖,张东敏.基于“情景-应对”的城市大面积停电应急联动机制与策略[J].电力需求侧管理,2023,25(3):99-105

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  • 收稿日期:2023-01-09
  • 最后修改日期:2023-02-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-31
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